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The prestigious year-end World No. 1 Emirates ATP Ranking will be decided in London… and it could come down to the last match of the year.

Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic are locked in a high-stakes battle for the coveted year-end No. 1 Emirates ATP Ranking at this week’s Barclays ATP World Tour Finals.
Murray, who rose to World No. 1 for the first time in his career on 7 November after winning the BNP Paribas Masters in Paris, is hoping to become just the 17th man in history (since 1973) to finish a season at No. 1. Djokovic is looking to finish No. 1 for the third consecutive year and for the fifth time overall.
The last time a World No. 2 dethroned the incumbent World No. 1 at the season finale to claim the prestigious year-end No. 1 title was back in 2001, when Lleyton Hewitt overtook Gustavo Kuerten in Sydney.

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So, what are the key scenarios in the battle for No. 1? There are many different ways both players can clinch year-end No. 1, but here are the two key and simplest pathways in which both players hold their fates in their own hands.
Murray clinches if he wins the tournament. Djokovic clinches if he wins at least two of his three group-stage matches and continues on to win the title. Should Djokovic win two group-stage matches and meet Murray in the final, the last match of the season will determine who finishes No. 1.
Fans following the players’ respective Emirates ATP Rankings points totals should know this: Although Murray came into the tournament with a 405-point lead on paper, that really is only a 130 point lead in the battle for year-end No. 1. Why? Because Murray’s points total includes 275 points earned at last year’s Davis Cup final, which will drop from his total on Monday, 28 November, the day the year-end Emirates ATP Rankings are calculated. (When players earn points at an event, they stay on their ranking for exactly 52 weeks, then drop.)
For each group-stage match win at the Barclays ATP World Tour Finals, players earn 200 points. A semi-final win means an additional 400 points and a win in the final brings a further 500 points.

Both players remain unbeaten in London
Who is going to finish the year No. 1? After four days of play at the Barclays ATP World Tour Finals, we’re not much closer to an answer.
Neither Andy Murray nor Novak Djokovic is giving each other an inch in the battle to finish No. 1 in the year-end Emirates ATP Rankings. Both have started the tournament with two round-robin victories, leaving Murray with an effective lead over the Serb of 130 points, the same edge with which he entered the tournament.
On paper Murray is 405 points ahead of Djokovic, but the Scot will see the 275 points he earned in the 2015 Davis Cup final fall from his points total on 28 November, the day the year-end rankings are calculated. So, that effectively leaves Murray with a 130-point lead at the half-way point of the season finale.
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Djokovic does have one advantage over Murray: he has already clinched his place in the semi-finals. Murray has a strong claim to a semi-final spot after two strong victories over Marin Cilic and Kei Nishikori. But Stan Wawrinka’s defeat of Cilic Wednesday night means that the Scot must wait until Friday’s final-day of group play to confirm his semi-final spot.
Should Murray join Djokovic in the semi-finals, here are the key scenarios…
If Murray and Djokovic meet in SFs, the winner of that match will clinch No. 1
If they don’t meet in SFs, the player advancing farthest in the tournament will clinch No. 1
If they both lose in the semi-finals, Murray will clinch No. 1 unless Djokovic has a better round-robin record
But there are several other scenarios, including one that could see Murray finish No. 1 even if he misses the semi-finals, provided Djokovic doesn’t go 3-0 in round-robin play and the Serb doesn’t reach the final. If Murray misses the semi-finals, Djokovic can clinch by going 3-0 in group play or by going 2-1 and then winning his semi-final match.
Murray is looking to become the 17th man in history (since 1973) to finish as the year-end No. 1. Djokovic is looking to finish No. 1 for the third consecutive year, and for the fifth time overall.
Murray became World No. 1 for the first time in his career on 7 November. The last time a No. 2 dethroned the incumbent No. 1 at the season finale to claim the year-end No. 1 title was back in 2001, when Australia’s Lleyton Hewitt overtook Brazilian Gustavo Kuerten in Sydney.
For each group-stage match win at the Barclays ATP World Tour Finals, players earn 200 points. A semi-final win means an additional 400 points and a win in the final brings a further 500 points.

The ATP World Tour this week published the 2016 year-end Emirates ATP Rankings on ATPWorldTour.com, after a memorable and exciting season that saw Andy Murray clinch the year-end No. 1 ranking on the final day of the season at the Barclays ATP World Tour Finals.
For the first time in the history of the Emirates ATP Rankings (since 1973), there were 10 different countries represented in the year-end Top 10. There were four new players in the year-end Top 10 from last season (No. 3 Milos Raonic, No. 6 Marin Cilic, No. 7 Gael Monfils and No. 8 Dominic Thiem). Monfils and Thiem are first-time additions while Raonic and Cilic are in the year-end Top 10 for the second time.
1. Andy Murray (GBR) – First Brit and 17th different year-end No. 1 continues 13 years of Big 4 dominance at the top of Emirates ATP Rankings
2. Novak Djokovic (SRB) – Finishes in Top 2 for sixth straight year and in Top 3 for 10th consecutive year
3. Milos Raonic (CAN) – Made biggest jump to No. 3 from previous year (14) since Djokovic in 2007 (16 to 3)
4. Stan Wawrinka (SUI) – Finishes No. 4 for third straight year and in Top 10 for fourth season in a row
5. Kei Nishikori (JPN) – Second Top 5 finish in three years and third straight year in Top 10
6. Marin Cilic (CRO) - Second Top 10 finish in three years and best Croat year-end ranking since Ljubicic (5) in 2006
7. Gael Monfils (FRA) – First time finish in Top 10 and ninth Frenchman in year-end Top 10
8. Dominic Thiem (AUT) – The 23-year-old is youngest in Top 10 and first Austrian in year-end Top 10 since Muster (9) in 1997
9. Rafael Nadal (ESP) – Top 10 for 12th year in a row and one of six players with 12-more Top 10 finishes
10. Tomas Berdych (CZE) – Seventh consecutive finish in the Top 10

2016 Year-End Emirates ATP Rankings Quick Facts
* For the first time since 2007 France led all countries with 12 players in the Top 100 (including seven in the Top 50). Spain followed with 10 in the Top 100, including an ATP World Tour-high nine in the Top 50.
* Despite ‎losing year-end No. 1 ranking, Djokovic has been in the Top 2 every week since March 21, 2011. He has also finished 10 straight seasons in the Top 3. The only other players to finish in the Top 3 for 10-more consecutive years are Jimmy Connors (12), Ivan Lendl (10) and Federer (10).
* Six players in the Top 15 finished the season with career-high rankings: Murray (No. 1), Raonic (No. 3), Cilic (No. 6), David Goffin (No. 11), Nick Kyrgios (No. 13) and Lucas Pouille (No. 15). Wawrinka finishes at No. 4 for the third straight season.
* Juan Martin del Potro, who jumped from No. 581 in 2015 to No. 38, made the biggest ranking jump in the Top 100 from last season (543 spots). On Feb. 8, he dropped to No. 1,045.
* Teenager Alexander Zverev finished a year-end best No. 24. The 19-year-old German is the first teenager to finish in the Top 25 since Djokovic (No. 16) and Murray (No. 17) in 2006. Zverev led a group of 15 #NextGen players in the Top 200 year-end rankings.
* Zverev and American Taylor Fritz, who finished as the youngest player in the Top 100 at No. 76, were the two teenagers in the year-end Top 100. The 19-year-old Fritz is one of six #NextGen players from the U.S.
* Ivo Karlovic, 37, finished the season in the Top 20 for the first time and he is the oldest player in the year-end Top 20 since Ken Rosewall (43), at No. 12 in 1977.
* Andy and Jamie Murray are the first brothers to finish No. 1 in the singles and doubles team rankings respectively. They are also only brothers to be No. 1 in singles and doubles at any time, with Jamie atop the individual doubles rankings for nine weeks earlier this season.
* Nicolas Mahut is first Frenchman to finish a season at No. 1 in singles or doubles.
* Jack Sock (No. 23 singles, No. 16 doubles) and Feliciano Lopez (No. 28 singles, No. 11 doubles) finished season with highest combined singles and doubles ranking. Mahut was one back (No. 39 singles, No. 1 doubles). Six players overall ended the year in Top 50 of both singles and doubles.

ATPWorldTour.com looks at the top Movers of the Week in the Top 100 of the Emirates ATP Rankings, as of Monday, 9 January 2017.
Daniil Medvedev soared 34 spots to a career-high No. 65 in the Emirates ATP Rankings as a result of reaching his first ATP World Tour final at the Aircel Chennai Open (l. to Bautista Agut). The 20-year-old #NextGenATP Russian was named the Tecnifibre Young Gun On The Road in 2016, having climbed from No. 329 to No. 98 in 2016
Roberto Bautista Agut rose one place to equal his career-high of No. 13 (10 October 2016) by lifting his fifth trophy in the Chennai final. It was fifth final of the past 52 weeks and seventh since October 2015. He fell in the 2013 Chennai final to then No. 9-ranked Janko Tipsarevic.
Grigor Dimitrov broke a title drought of more than two-and-a-half years by beating three consecutive Top 10 players – Dominic Thiem, Milos Raonic and Kei Nishikori – en route to the Brisbane International crown. Having lost his past four finals, the 25-year-old Bulgarian claimed his fifth trophy – his first since the 2014 Aegon Championships. World No. 15 Dimitrov is now at his highest ranking since 29 June 2015, when he was placed No. 11.
Dudi Sela, competing in Chennai, did not drop a set en route to his first ATP World Tour semi-final since reaching the 2014 Atlanta final. In reaching his second Chennai semi-final (also 2010), the 31-year-old Israeli rose 10 spots to No. 86 – his highest position in the Emirates ATP Rankings since 24 October 2016.

ATPWorldTour.com looks at the top Movers of the Week in the Top 100 of the Emirates ATP Rankings, as of Monday, 16 January 2017.
Gilles Muller moved up to a career-high of No. 28, following his victory at the Apia International Sydney where he lifted his first ATP World Tour title. Competing in his sixth final (1-5), the Luxembourg native defeated Daniel Evans 7-6(5), 6-2 in front of his two sons, Lenny and Nils. He also beat two-time defending champion Viktor Troicki in the semi-finals, ending the Serbian’s 10-match winning streak at the tournament. After being presented the trophy by all-time great Rod Laver, Muller said, “It means a lot. Like you can see, I was pretty emotional out there on the court. For the past two or three years, it was probably my biggest goal to win a title. I always dreamed of that, and I was so close last year... So I was very scared and worried that I was going to be one of those players who never win a title. Now I have it, and it just feels great.” Read & Watch Report
View Latest Emirates ATP Rankings
Jack Sock rose three spots in the Emirates ATP Rankings to a career-high No. 20 after lifting his second ATP World Tour title last week at the ASB Classic in Auckland, where he beat Joao Sousa 6-3, 5-7, 6-3. “I was able to put in a lot of work in the off-season and I think it paid off. I was able to make lots of gains and lots of strides forward. I think it really showed this week.” The 24-year-old Nebraska native added to his 2015 Houston title and improves to 2-4 in tour-level finals. Read & Watch Report

Joao Sousa capitalised on a first-round win over No. 26-ranked Albert Ramos-Vinolas in Auckland en route to his eighth ATP World Tour final (2-6). The Portuguese jumped seven places to No. 37, nine spots off his career-high of No. 28 (16 May 2016).
Evans failed in his attempt to become the first British singles champion in Sydney since Tim Henman in 1997 (d. Carlos Moya), but surged up 16 places to a career-high No. 51. The last time a British trio was ranked in the Top 50 was on 13 March 2006 with Andy Murray at No. 44, Henman at No. 45 and Greg Rusedski at No. 46. The 26-year-old Evans won four three-set matches en route to his first ATP World Tour final, including beating World No. 8 Dominic Thiem in the quarter-finals. It was the first Top 10 win of his career.
Dudi Sela rocketed 20 spots from No. 87 to No. 67 – after he beat Jan-Lennard Struff in Canberra for his 21st ATP Challenger Tour crown. The Israeli reached the Aircel Chennai Open semi-finals in the first week of the 2017 ATP World Tour season. The title puts Sela five titles behind Yen-Hsun Lu for the all-time Challenger lead. Read ATP Challenger Tour Spotlight